VashonBePrepared Blog Posts

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Disaster news and links of interest for Vashonites
By John Cornelison on 9/8/2015 3:42 PM
Alert SeattleStay informed when you are roaming the urban lands: Consider subscribing to AlertSeattle – the City’s new, real-time emergency alert and notification system.

When emergencies happen, be the first to know. AlertSeattle is your link to real-time, official notifications from the City of Seattle.

AlertSeattle is a free service that allows you to sign up online to receive customized alerts via text message, email, voice message, and on social media (Facebook and Twitter). This service is provided by the City of Seattle at no cost; however, message and data rates may apply.

In addition to emergency alerts, you can also choose to receive customizable community notifications. These will include notifications about severe weather,...
By John Cornelison on 6/2/2015 7:49 AM
imageLast Thursday, FEMA and its partners released the 2015 National Preparedness Report (NPR). The NPR is an annual status report summarizing the Nation's progress toward reaching the 2011 National Preparedness Goal of a secure and resilient nation. This report marks the fourth iteration of the NPR. The 2015 NPR places particular emphasis on highlighting preparedness progress in implementing the National Planning Frameworks. The Frameworks describe how the whole...
By John Cornelison on 4/29/2015 3:10 PM

http://www.arrl.org/images/view/Regulatory_/Color_Band_Chart_Image_1.jpgA Technician Test Prep class is schedule for May 15th 6PM to 9PM, 16th 10AM to 5PM, 17th 10AM - 3PM.

Cost of the class is $30 to cover instructors expense's, the cost of the test and an official ham license.

Additionally, students need to purchase a new textbook since the question pool has changed as of July 14th. Here is a link to the ARRL Store but this book is available at other outlets:

http://www.arrl.org/shop/ARRL-Ham-Radio-License-Manual-3rd-Edition/

To register for class, contact:

Sharon Danielson via email: kharazi (at) aol.com

By John Cornelison on 3/20/2015 5:10 PM
On March 25, 2014, we published this nadir view of debris and a barrier lake created by a major landslide near Oso, Washington; the image was acquired by the Landsat 8 satellite on March 23. - earthobservatory.nasa.govA year after Oso, Arts WA is hosting a way for poets to memorialize that tragic event. Here’s one great entry:

One March morning the landscape shrugged—

fields dammed the river, hillsides fattened and rolled

—a hungry black bear feasting on every fallen thing.

When there is no one to blame but the rainfall,

no trial, no jury, no jail—our cry for justice is empty.

We have only the hope of no one suffering,

that bodies succumbed the way an infant...
By John Cornelison on 12/5/2014 10:09 AM
Two joint studies are out this week and indicate that the United Nations’ Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) 2013’s predictions of a global sea rise of a bit over 3 feet by the end of the century could be way off.

Apparently warm ocean water is already undermining a vast stretch of West Antarctica ice that could release enough water to raise sea levels by up to 11 feet in the next 100-200 years. 13 million people live within 10 vertical feet of the ocean and Miami, New Orleans, and New York City would be the cities most affected.

Read yesterday’s Washington Post’s article...
By John Cornelison on 12/4/2014 6:41 PM
12-4-2014 at 4.20.00 PMPersonal weather stations (PWS) supplement public weather stations, such as those at airports. Given the right equipment, citizens with a PWS can share their weather data with a number of services who will aggregate the data and help collectively provide better weather forecasts for the region.

Owners also get more...
By John Cornelison on 12/1/2014 9:32 AM
According to the LA Times, the entire west coast should get access to the first generation of early earthquake warnings as early as next year. Dependent on congress’ upcoming vote, the budget would be some $16 million annually.

The new system would be the first generation, after a bare-bones prototype system has proven the concept over the last year or so in a limited set of locations. California would go from 200 to 400 sensors while 275 sensors are apparently all that are currently planned for Oregon and Washington.

Specialized systems have been in place for years. For instance the Alaskan Way Viaduct automatically is closed...
By John Cornelison on 11/13/2014 5:15 PM
Seattle to host Nov. 18th Twitter event to take questions about landslides

1916_Landslide_near_Duwamish_Head,_West_SeattleDid you know that most landslides occur between the months of October and April? And that 86 percent of landslides are caused to some extent by human activity? Landslide season is upon us and the City of Seattle is urging residents to take preventive measures to protect themselves and their property from possible landslides.

Heavy rains are likely this year for the Pacific Northwest. As the rainfall continues to increase throughout...
By John Cornelison on 11/10/2014 8:40 PM
11-10-2014 at 6.08.39 PMThe American Red Cross has released a slew of apps for the Android and Apple marketplace.

One of their latest - Monster Guard: Prepare for Emergencies - is oriented at 7-11 year olds...
By John Cornelison on 11/10/2014 1:12 PM
20Most folks believe the National Weather Service just reports on the weather – but I remain skeptical. I actually think they know how to control it – when it fits their key goals.

As conclusive proof, realize that the NWS proclaimed this week as “Winter Weather Awareness Week”. As a direct result – not coincidentally as many naively assume – the nation is going to be plunged...
By John Cornelison on 11/5/2014 9:48 AM
WinterReady2013Handbook-1 The Vashon Beachcomber, publisher of last winter’s “Vashon Winter Ready 2013 Handbook” has kindly allowed VashonBePrepared to make the handbook available online. As we gear up for our annual winter storm season, you can review this great overview of winter preparedness on our Severe Storm page. Kudos also to VIFR, Voice of Vashon, Puget Sound Energy, and VashonBePrepared for their contributions to the handbook.

...
By John Cornelison on 11/4/2014 9:55 PM
OLYMPUS DIGITAL CAMERAOver 25 ham radio operators showed up for the local amateur radio club’s bimonthly meeting tonight at Vashon’s Emergency Operations Center.

John Galus, past president of the club demonstrated the newly upgraded Local Area Communication Caches (LACCs) for the Dockton and Burton radio stations. (The north end and Tahlequah and 5th Station 55 caches have yet to receive the latest updates, but received upgrades in the form of hand-me-downs from the other caches.)

...
By John Cornelison on 10/29/2014 11:31 AM

SeismicMonitorHere are some interesting resource pages for Earthquakes:

Earthquakes Data Magnitude 5.0 and Over 2005 - 2014
http://krilloil.com/blog/earthquake-data/

Seismic Monitor
http://www.iris.edu/seismon/

Quakes - Live Earthquakes Map
http://quakes.globalincidentmap.com/

By John Cornelison on 10/22/2014 6:22 AM
VashonBePrepared Convenes Community Meeting on Landslide Risk 29Oct2014_AnnualMtg.1826x1200VashonBePrepared invites the entire community to learn more about landslide risks on Vashon, a risk that ranks in the top three for the Island, right up there along with earthquake and severe weather. The informational meeting, which will include a question and answer session, will take place on Wednesday, October 29th,...
By John Cornelison on 9/22/2014 7:27 AM
At least our knowledge of the Seattle Fault’s extent grew. This is according to USGS researcher Craig Weaver, as quoted in today’s Seattle Times article.

Apparently the quake occurred at the intersection of the Seattle Fault and another fault on the Olympic Peninsula. The article also references a 1995 quake near Vashon with magnitude 5 – which also turned out to be along the Seattle Fault.

The picture to the right (from the USGS)...
By John Cornelison on 8/27/2014 1:13 PM

According to UW’s John Vidale, as reported by KING-TV and The Seattle Times, getting an early warning system in place for WA would cost some $17 million annually. We’ve a rudimentary system, but that’s seemingly not ready for prime time. It apparently is a priority for California’s legislators, but not (quite yet) ours. Maybe that will change!

More about California’s system – which gave a 10-second notice to the recent Napa quake is available at CBS.

By John Cornelison on 8/27/2014 12:10 PM

0824quake-hazards1As we reported a month ago, the USGS has released a new earthquake map. King 5’s recent story on this is at:

www.king5.com/story/news/local/2014/08/24/new-earthquake-map-shows-northwest-high-risk/14530165/

By John Cornelison on 8/27/2014 12:04 PM

I haven’t vetted the following claims, but suspect they are readily verified. All too often the short term gain is overwhelmed by the long-term consequences…

manmade-disasters

- From http://www.emergency-management-degree.org/man-made-disasters/

By John Cornelison on 8/27/2014 11:57 AM
Cover photo for the document: Reducing the Risks of Nonstructural Earthquake Damage—A Practical Guide, Fourth EditionThe recent August 24, 2014 earthquake outside of Napa, California again demonstrated the seismic risk posed by a building’s nonstructural components. In general, the components of a building’s structural system that support the building and keep it standing—the frame, walls, and roof—performed very well in the Napa Valley earthquake. However, the nonstructural components of a building—the cladding, interior...
By John Cornelison on 7/25/2014 8:37 AM
Voice of Vashon has started construction on Vashon’s new radio station KVSH, building as funds come in. And Islanders donated over $3,000 at Strawberry Festival so their fundraising campaign is at 93% of the $50,000 goal.

It'll take a couple more months of work to put KVSH-FM on the air but last week the all volunteer team erected the mast and antenna up top of the giant water tank just south of town.

See for yourself in this video!



...
By John Cornelison on 7/25/2014 8:31 AM
This map shows, in purple and pink, the west-east line of magnetotelluric sensors that were placed north of Washington state’s Mount Rainier to study the volcanic plumbing system under the volcano. The sensors detect how the ground resists or conducts natural electricity within the Earth. Shown in yellow are seismic sensors that detect how fast or slow sound or seismic waves travel underground. Both methods were used in a new study that provides the most detailed look yet at the subterranean plumbing system that supplies the active volcano.

Photo Credit: R Shane McGary, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution

July 17, 2014 – By measuring how fast Earth conducts electricity and seismic waves, a University of Utah researcher and colleagues made...
By John Cornelison on 7/24/2014 8:03 AM
From http://www.usgs.gov/blogs/features/usgs_top_story/new-insight-on-the-nations-earthquake-hazards/

“Important changes in Washington are related to the addition of the Tacoma fault and changes to the South Whidbey Island fault. The Seattle region hazard has not changed significantly because we use a very similar model for the Seattle fault as was applied in 2008. We have not modified this fault using the geodetic model.” from the USGS report, Pg. 192

By: Jessica Robertson (jrobertson@usgs.gov) and Mark Petersen (mpetersen@usgs.gov)

image

...
By John Cornelison on 6/19/2014 6:39 AM
6-19-2014 at 7.36.16 AMPlease don’t confuse VashonBePrepared with Cliff Goodman’s neat new Kickstarter campaign just down the road: Vashon Beer Prepared!

Cliff has run out of space and brewing capacity, and a serious shortage has developed as he has...
By John Cornelison on 6/10/2014 12:30 PM

While there have been numerous historical problems (victim & rescuer safety, communication and conflicted goals) with asking untrained volunteers to help out during disasters, they were invaluable in the recent Oso slide rescue effort. It is pretty clear that they are very useful in a number of situations with some supervision or initial vetting.

Read this article by the Everett HeraldNet to learn more:

www.heraldnet.com/article/20140601/NEWS01/140609942/Disaster-response-gets-local-emphasis

By John Cornelison on 5/11/2014 8:25 PM
KingCountyLandslideRiskAreas-1980According to this recent KOMO News piece, Seattle is warning residents to not inadvertently cause landslides.

"Eighty-four percent of the landslides that have happened in Seattle have, to some minor or major degree,...
By John Cornelison on 5/11/2014 7:32 PM
Lidar mapping of Seattle FaultAccording to this KOMO News piece, King County unveiled Monday, May 5th an initiative to re-map unincorporated county land over the next two years partially to help identify potential landslide areas.

King County will dedicate $800,000 to take advantage of much improved technology to remap the county using latest lidar equipment.

The last survey done in 1980 doesn’t have the resolution or clarity that is now available – though it famously aided identification of the previously unknown Seattle Fault....
By John Cornelison on 5/8/2014 11:56 AM
Open for Business!

Free Preparedness Workshop

What can you do to keep going when the lights go out? What can you do now to help your business manage one of those Vashon-style power outages that last for days? At this second Open for Business! workshop we've invited Puget Sound Energy (PSE) to help us plan for the inevitable and most frequent cause of business disruption.

...
By John Cornelison on 4/30/2014 5:25 PM
The next Open For Business! workshop on Vashon is coming up May 13th at 6:00. All about power this time!.

Open for Business! Free Preparedness Workshop Prepare Your Business for Disaster & Disruption. 40% of businesses do not reopen after a disaster and an additional 25% go dark within one year according to FEMA.

When?

Monday January 27th

6:30 to 8:30pm

Where?

Land Trust building

10014 SW Bank Rd.

Questions?

Open for Business! Team

biz@VashonBePrepared.org

...
By John Cornelison on 4/15/2014 7:47 AM
4-15-2014 at 8.46.16 AMSomewhat serendipitously, the New York Times Retro Report has come out with a special report on earthquake preparedness published April 13th – the same month as the Pacific Northwest’s 1949 and 1965 earthquakes.

They prepared an 11 minute video that unfortunately focuses mostly on California and Oregon – but hopefully will spur us all to action. California and the Pacific Northwest are clearly not yet adequately prepared...
By John Cornelison on 4/14/2014 7:58 AM
Thursday, April 24, 2014, 6:00 – 7:00pm UW Science Now Shelley Chestler: Slow Earthquakes Michelle Weirathmueller: Quakes and Whales Downstairs at Town Hall; enter on Seneca Street. $5. Double Feature!

seismograph arrow

Science

Shelley.Chestler.photoWestern Washington is due for “The Big One,”...
By John Cornelison on 3/5/2014 9:25 PM
imageCalling all Radioheads … and anyone else who wants to learn more about volunteer emergency communications!

The 2014 Communications Academy, on the campus of South Seattle Community College, is just a few weeks away. See the link below for more information & register now for this excellent event. This year’s keynote speakers: Bill Schrier, FirstNet, and Harold Kramer, Boston Marathon Volunteer.

The academy provides two days of training and information on various...
By John Cornelison on 2/23/2014 6:38 AM
VOV.1232x842Friday February 21, 2014, the Federal Communications Commission (FCC) approved Voice of Vashon’s (VoV) application for an FM radio station – along with over 1000 other low-power FM applicants nationwide.

Fourteen years ago a small group of volunteers dared to dream that Vashon could have its own live radio voice. Now, that dream has come true.

While much of the infrastructure is in place for the station to go live, a new FM...
By John Cornelison on 1/21/2014 7:42 AM
Free Preparedness Workshop VashonChamberFrom VashonBePrepared & Vashon Chamber of Commerce Monday January 27th 6:30 to 8:30pm Land Trust building (10014 SW Bank Rd.) Advance Registration Required so Click Here: http://goo.gl/n1bLPg Prepare Your Business for Disaster & Disruption. 40% of businesses do not reopen after a disaster and an additional 25% go dark within one year according to FEMA. Especially important...
By John Cornelison on 1/7/2014 7:55 AM
natural-catastrophes-2013-wold-map_en_Page_1“For the first time in two decades, the world's costliest natural disasters in 2013 were not in the USA, according to a report released today by Munich Re, the world's largest reinsurance firm. Last year, the most expensive weather disasters were in Europe, which...
By John Cornelison on 1/6/2014 1:46 PM


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

A graph showing the relationship between eruption volume and time between eruptions, using the models presented in Carrichi and others (2014). Notice how for buoyancy-driven eruptions (in blue), the time between eruptions doesn’t vary much across a wide range of volumes. Image: Figure 3 from Caricchi and others (2014), Nature Geoscience.

The study’s upshot is that Yellowstone Caldera (and the other 20+ supervolcano sites) are more likely than previously thought to explode without the aid of an earthquake. A big one could drastically lower global...
By John Cornelison on 11/7/2013 8:11 AM

Similar to what happened on Vashon several years ago, CenturyLink’s main fiber optic cable to the San Juan’s got severed Tuesday and has cut 911 service to Lopez, Shaw and Orcas islands – with no estimated restoration time. See the report at: www.kirotv.com/news/news/thousands-san-juans-unable-call-911/nbkKn/ for more details.

By John Cornelison on 11/5/2013 8:58 AM
11-5-2013 at 8.55.25 AMThe Northwest faces poorer forest health (more forest fires), earlier snowmelt (lower stream flows) and raised sea levels (eroding coasts), according to Monday’s release of the Northwest Climate Assessment Report (NWCAR, 2013). Impacts might total some $14 billion dollars...
By John Cornelison on 10/22/2013 7:59 AM
VashonBePrepared Community Summit IMG_20131019_105806Leaders from the Vashon community came together for the first VashonBePrepared Community Summit Saturday morning at Chautauqua School. Moderated by President Rick Wallace and Vice-President Bob Smueles, the group brainstormed for over 3 hours on current  community need if a disaster were to befall us.

Specifically the group...
By John Cornelison on 10/18/2013 4:34 PM
VashonBePrepared_433x80transSaturday VashonBePrepared will hold it’s annual membership meeting, open to the public, from 8:30 am – noon at Chautauqua Elementary School.

Purpose Develop a consensus among the community leaders on: What the Island community needs to survive and recover from an incident that would impact the entire community, and How best to meet those needs. This will be followed by the requisite VashonBePrepared...
By John Cornelison on 10/18/2013 4:13 PM
imageOn January 26, 1700 an estimated M9 earthquake unzipped the 700+ mile Cascadia Subduction Zone fault from northern California, USA to southern British Columbia, Canada, much like recent events in 2011 in Japan and 2010 in Chile. The newly released “Cascadia Subduction Zone Earthquakes: A Magnitude 9.0 Earthquake Scenario”...
By John Cornelison on 9/16/2013 4:44 PM
You can share your views about transportation needs with Senate Transportation Committee members at public forums on Tuesday, Sept. 17 in Bellevue and Monday, Oct. 14 in downtown Seattle.

These “listening sessions” are part of a statewide tour hosted by the Washington State Department of Transportation. At least half of each meeting...
By John Cornelison on 9/12/2013 8:12 PM
King County has told the local cities that it does not plan to provide snowplowing services to Tier 2 through 5 roads this winter due to budget cuts. Click here to see which roads in unincorporated King County are currently identified as Tier 1 through 5, and to see contact information for questions. (Hint only Vashon Highway is rated as a tier one road.)

The County may in fact plow as resources become available, but is suggesting that it may not be in a timely fashion. Details on the county’s ice & snow program can be found at: www.kingcounty.gov/transportation/kcdot/Roads/SnowAndIce.aspx

We are unaware of actual staffing changes locally so...
By John Cornelison on 9/10/2013 7:22 AM
BY THE PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA A PROCLAMATION

imageTime and again, America faces crises that test our readiness and challenge our resolve -- from natural disasters like hurricanes, tornadoes, and floods to shootings, cyber incidents, and even acts of terrorism. While my Administration is working tirelessly to avert national tragedies, it is every American's responsibility to be prepared. By planning for emergencies, individuals can protect themselves...
By John Cornelison on 9/5/2013 10:03 AM


While scientists can't predict when a great earthquake producing a pan-Pacific tsunami will occur, thanks to new tools being developed by federal and state officials, scientists can now offer more accurate insight into the likely impacts when tsunamis occur. This knowledge can lead officials and the public to reduce the risk of the future tsunamis that will impact the west coast.

 

http://www.usgs.gov/newsroom/images/2013_09_04/pola_polb.jpg Maximum current speeds for the Port of Los Angeles (POLA) and the Port of Long Beach (POLB), according to the SAFRR Tsunami Scenario. In the POLA, currents are strongest at Angels Gate, the Cabrillo Marina, the Boat Yard, and the old Navy Yard. Once...
By John Cornelison on 8/7/2013 8:28 AM
Wireless Emergency Alert (WEA) LogoWireless Emergency Alerts (WEAs) provide free notifications of imminent threats to safety or missing persons to your mobile device. In order to receive WEAs, you must have a capable device and be located in an area (e.g., county) targeted by Authorized Senders to receive one of 3 types of alerts:

Presidential Alerts – Alerts issued by the President or a designee; Imminent Threat Alerts – Alerts that include severe man-made or natural disasters, such as hurricanes, earthquakes, tornadoes, etc., where an imminent threat to life or property exists; and AMBER Alerts– Alerts that meet the U.S. Department of Justice's criteria to help law enforcement search for and locate...
By John Cornelison on 7/15/2013 7:55 AM
NASA's illustration depicting space weather's effects on human eectrical systemsAs our culture becomes ever more dependent on electricity, the current distribution system has a huge vulnerability – induced current from external electrical flux.

One source of such an Electro Magnetic Pulse (EMP) would be a nuclear bomb (or a dedicated gamma ray bomb that North Korea...
By John Cornelison on 7/11/2013 1:30 PM
US Earthquake Risk, according to the USGSCrowdsourcing is being used as early indicator of earthquakes according to an article at: www.homelandsecuritynewswire.com/dr20130711-using-crowdsourcing-for-earthquake-monitoring. The full, original report is...
By John Cornelison on 7/5/2013 7:50 AM
WMO-No.1119The World Meteorological Organization has just released its report, “The Global Climate 2001-2010, A decade of climate extremes”, along with a Summary Report, WMO-No. 1119.

...

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