VashonBePrepared Blog Posts

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Disaster news and links of interest for Vashonites
By John Cornelison on 2/23/2014 6:38 AM
VOV.1232x842Friday February 21, 2014, the Federal Communications Commission (FCC) approved Voice of Vashon’s (VoV) application for an FM radio station – along with over 1000 other low-power FM applicants nationwide.

Fourteen years ago a small group of volunteers dared to dream that Vashon could have its own live radio voice. Now, that dream has come true.

While much of the infrastructure is in place for the station to go live, a new FM...
By John Cornelison on 1/21/2014 7:42 AM
Free Preparedness Workshop VashonChamberFrom VashonBePrepared & Vashon Chamber of Commerce Monday January 27th 6:30 to 8:30pm Land Trust building (10014 SW Bank Rd.) Advance Registration Required so Click Here: http://goo.gl/n1bLPg Prepare Your Business for Disaster & Disruption. 40% of businesses do not reopen after a disaster and an additional 25% go dark within one year according to FEMA. Especially important...
By John Cornelison on 1/7/2014 7:55 AM
natural-catastrophes-2013-wold-map_en_Page_1“For the first time in two decades, the world's costliest natural disasters in 2013 were not in the USA, according to a report released today by Munich Re, the world's largest reinsurance firm. Last year, the most expensive weather disasters were in Europe, which...
By John Cornelison on 1/6/2014 1:46 PM


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

A graph showing the relationship between eruption volume and time between eruptions, using the models presented in Carrichi and others (2014). Notice how for buoyancy-driven eruptions (in blue), the time between eruptions doesn’t vary much across a wide range of volumes. Image: Figure 3 from Caricchi and others (2014), Nature Geoscience.

The study’s upshot is that Yellowstone Caldera (and the other 20+ supervolcano sites) are more likely than previously thought to explode without the aid of an earthquake. A big one could drastically lower global...
By John Cornelison on 11/7/2013 8:11 AM

Similar to what happened on Vashon several years ago, CenturyLink’s main fiber optic cable to the San Juan’s got severed Tuesday and has cut 911 service to Lopez, Shaw and Orcas islands – with no estimated restoration time. See the report at: www.kirotv.com/news/news/thousands-san-juans-unable-call-911/nbkKn/ for more details.

By John Cornelison on 11/5/2013 8:58 AM
11-5-2013 at 8.55.25 AMThe Northwest faces poorer forest health (more forest fires), earlier snowmelt (lower stream flows) and raised sea levels (eroding coasts), according to Monday’s release of the Northwest Climate Assessment Report (NWCAR, 2013). Impacts might total some $14 billion dollars...
By John Cornelison on 10/22/2013 7:59 AM
VashonBePrepared Community Summit IMG_20131019_105806Leaders from the Vashon community came together for the first VashonBePrepared Community Summit Saturday morning at Chautauqua School. Moderated by President Rick Wallace and Vice-President Bob Smueles, the group brainstormed for over 3 hours on current  community need if a disaster were to befall us.

Specifically the group...
By John Cornelison on 10/18/2013 4:34 PM
VashonBePrepared_433x80transSaturday VashonBePrepared will hold it’s annual membership meeting, open to the public, from 8:30 am – noon at Chautauqua Elementary School.

Purpose Develop a consensus among the community leaders on: What the Island community needs to survive and recover from an incident that would impact the entire community, and How best to meet those needs. This will be followed by the requisite VashonBePrepared...
By John Cornelison on 10/18/2013 4:13 PM
imageOn January 26, 1700 an estimated M9 earthquake unzipped the 700+ mile Cascadia Subduction Zone fault from northern California, USA to southern British Columbia, Canada, much like recent events in 2011 in Japan and 2010 in Chile. The newly released “Cascadia Subduction Zone Earthquakes: A Magnitude 9.0 Earthquake Scenario”...
By John Cornelison on 9/16/2013 4:44 PM
You can share your views about transportation needs with Senate Transportation Committee members at public forums on Tuesday, Sept. 17 in Bellevue and Monday, Oct. 14 in downtown Seattle.

These “listening sessions” are part of a statewide tour hosted by the Washington State Department of Transportation. At least half of each meeting...
By John Cornelison on 9/12/2013 8:12 PM
King County has told the local cities that it does not plan to provide snowplowing services to Tier 2 through 5 roads this winter due to budget cuts. Click here to see which roads in unincorporated King County are currently identified as Tier 1 through 5, and to see contact information for questions. (Hint only Vashon Highway is rated as a tier one road.)

The County may in fact plow as resources become available, but is suggesting that it may not be in a timely fashion. Details on the county’s ice & snow program can be found at: www.kingcounty.gov/transportation/kcdot/Roads/SnowAndIce.aspx

We are unaware of actual staffing changes locally so...
By John Cornelison on 9/10/2013 7:22 AM
BY THE PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA A PROCLAMATION

imageTime and again, America faces crises that test our readiness and challenge our resolve -- from natural disasters like hurricanes, tornadoes, and floods to shootings, cyber incidents, and even acts of terrorism. While my Administration is working tirelessly to avert national tragedies, it is every American's responsibility to be prepared. By planning for emergencies, individuals can protect themselves...
By John Cornelison on 9/5/2013 10:03 AM


While scientists can't predict when a great earthquake producing a pan-Pacific tsunami will occur, thanks to new tools being developed by federal and state officials, scientists can now offer more accurate insight into the likely impacts when tsunamis occur. This knowledge can lead officials and the public to reduce the risk of the future tsunamis that will impact the west coast.

 

http://www.usgs.gov/newsroom/images/2013_09_04/pola_polb.jpg Maximum current speeds for the Port of Los Angeles (POLA) and the Port of Long Beach (POLB), according to the SAFRR Tsunami Scenario. In the POLA, currents are strongest at Angels Gate, the Cabrillo Marina, the Boat Yard, and the old Navy Yard. Once...
By John Cornelison on 8/7/2013 8:28 AM
Wireless Emergency Alert (WEA) LogoWireless Emergency Alerts (WEAs) provide free notifications of imminent threats to safety or missing persons to your mobile device. In order to receive WEAs, you must have a capable device and be located in an area (e.g., county) targeted by Authorized Senders to receive one of 3 types of alerts:

Presidential Alerts – Alerts issued by the President or a designee; Imminent Threat Alerts – Alerts that include severe man-made or natural disasters, such as hurricanes, earthquakes, tornadoes, etc., where an imminent threat to life or property exists; and AMBER Alerts– Alerts that meet the U.S. Department of Justice's criteria to help law enforcement search for and locate...
By John Cornelison on 7/15/2013 7:55 AM
NASA's illustration depicting space weather's effects on human eectrical systemsAs our culture becomes ever more dependent on electricity, the current distribution system has a huge vulnerability – induced current from external electrical flux.

One source of such an Electro Magnetic Pulse (EMP) would be a nuclear bomb (or a dedicated gamma ray bomb that North Korea...
By John Cornelison on 7/11/2013 1:30 PM
US Earthquake Risk, according to the USGSCrowdsourcing is being used as early indicator of earthquakes according to an article at: www.homelandsecuritynewswire.com/dr20130711-using-crowdsourcing-for-earthquake-monitoring. The full, original report is...
By John Cornelison on 7/5/2013 7:50 AM
WMO-No.1119The World Meteorological Organization has just released its report, “The Global Climate 2001-2010, A decade of climate extremes”, along with a Summary Report, WMO-No. 1119.

...
By John Cornelison on 7/4/2013 1:13 PM
Overview of Vashon's Status and Systems for Disaster Response

VashonBePrepared.org-nhn-tr.100x469This 3-hour overview, VashonBePrepared 101, is a great introduction to the systems in place on Vashon for major disasters, and an update on the status of our readiness.  It's free and open to the public, with a packed agenda covering all the components we have assembled here to work in partnership...
By John Cornelison on 6/24/2013 9:56 AM
http://tribkcpq.files.wordpress.com/2013/06/redcrossbikes.jpgSome 50 cyclists tested their disaster preparedness skills at the 1st Seattle Disaster Relief Trial. It was held near the University of Washington on June 21st.

According to their Facebook event listing:

“Imagine a 7.2-magnitude earthquake hitting the Seattle Fault. Freeway overpasses crumble, a Lake Washington sieche (oscillating wave) takes chunks out of bridges. Motor vehicles are rendered useless, but following the example of Sandy Relief by bike, Seattle residents with bikes and trailers or cargo bikes are able to transport food and medical...
By John Cornelison on 6/21/2013 9:27 AM
http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/billions/images/billion-dollar-disaster-map-2012.jpgThe U.S. National Climatic Data Center’s (NCDC) announced that according to their 2012 weather and climate disasters information, 2012 saw 11 weather and climate disaster events each with losses exceeding $1 billion in damages. This makes 2012 the second costliest year since 1980, with a total of more than $110 billion in damages throughout the year. The 2012 total damages rank only behind 2005, which incurred $160 billion in damages due in part to four devastating land-falling hurricanes.

The 2012 billion-dollar events included seven severe weather and tornado events, two tropical...
By John Cornelison on 6/17/2013 10:39 AM
TornadoHistoryProject's Map of WA TornadosWhile Puget Sound rarely sees tornados, they certainly are possible, with 3 tornadoes in the 1960’s alone. www.TornadoHistoryProject.com offers a list of them and can also map them.

...
By John Cornelison on 6/17/2013 6:09 AM
6-17-2013 at 7.06.45 AMLast October, the American Red Cross released a free Wildfire App for iPhone and Android platforms, which allows users to track blazes this summer.

Features: • Step-by-step instructions let you know what to do even before/during/after an wildfire, even if no data connectivity. • Get notified about current wildfires or wildfire-conducive weather. • Let family and friends know...
By John Cornelison on 6/14/2013 10:07 AM
Tacoma Fault Damage to King CountyIf you have even been curious about the potential impact of all those various earthquakes that geologists have identified – and see which might have the largest impact for a general region like Vashon Island (i.e., parcel level damage estimates are NOT supported!), then check out the State Seismic Hazards Catalog.

...
By John Cornelison on 6/14/2013 8:28 AM
Canadian scientists apply new methods to better understand Pacific coast earthquakes Checking core samples in the lab. Photo credit: Dan Anthon, Royal Roads UniversityUnderstanding the size and frequency of large earthquakes along the Pacific coast of North America is of great importance, not just to scientists, but also to government planners and the general public. The only way to predict the frequency and intensity of the ground motion expected from large and giant "megathrust " earthquakes along Canada's west coast is to analyze the geologic record. A new study...
By John Cornelison on 6/14/2013 6:34 AM
clip_image004The Vashon Maury Island Radio Club and VashonBePrepared invites the public to visit Vashon’s amateur radio volunteers at our 2013 Field Day event. Vashon Hams gather at Sunrise Ridge on June 22 & 23 for Field Day’s 80th anniversary to compete in the largest single amateur radio and emergency preparedness exercise, with over 35,000 operators participating throughout the US & Canada.

Local ham volunteers...
By John Cornelison on 2/12/2013 3:04 AM


Every spring in Tacoma there is a great conference for meeting and sharing ideas with a wide range of disaster experts. Early Bird Registration closes at the end of the month!

Why Attend

Successful management of emergencies can only be accomplished through effective and pre-established partnerships.  This conference offers you the opportunity to develop those relationships; gain the necessary information to develop your response, recovery, and mitigation plans; create your preparedness messaging to those you serve; and gain valuable insight into lessons learned and established best practices.  This is the largest and most successful regional emergency management preparedness conference in the Pacific Northwest – attracting attendees from:

Emergency...
By John Cornelison on 1/24/2013 9:26 AM
imageThe Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) National Earthquake Hazards Reduction Program (NEHRP) is pleased to announce a 1 ½ hour webinar on Reducing the Risks of Nonstructural Earthquake Damage (FEMA E-74). Please join and share this opportunity with other individuals and organizations who might be interested. See details below and in the attachment.

Webinar Description Nonstructural components of buildings include all elements that are not part of the structural...
By John Cornelison on 1/19/2013 4:53 PM
JustBeThere.infoCongratulations to Vashon islander Daniel Luechtefeld for

Training to support his community, Volunteering (with VashonBePrepared, VIFR, VMIRC, ARES and other community organizations), Responding and actually saving a neighbor’s life, and Volunteering to help make a video of that dramatic rescue. Daniel has served on the VashonBePrepared Board for a couple years now as the Vashon Maury Island Radio Club (VMIRC)’s...
By John Cornelison on 1/3/2013 8:32 AM
The Main Himalayan Thrust has historically been responsible for a magnitude 8 to 9 earthquake every several hundred years. (Illustration: Warren Caldwell)



Will a megathrust earthquake strike the NW in 2013? New Years brings out speculators, and this time it is the Seattle PI, which quotes the Pacific Northwest Seismic Network’s director John Vidale and Stanford University geophysics professor Paul Segall whose studies indicate some potential links between "episodic tremor and slip,"or ETS activity and subsequent quakes.

According to the Stanford release:

...
By John Cornelison on 12/7/2012 10:22 AM
SandyBarametricMap-NOAAIn an admittedly narrow look at just one operation during Super Storm Sandy, professional disaster professionals wasted several days waiting for deployment. Fox’s sensational article...
By John Cornelison on 10/30/2012 7:44 AM
10-30-2012 at 8.38.48 AMWorkers at the University of Washington’s Seismology Lab have concern that the 7.7 magnitude earthquake that occurred on the British Columbia coast over the weekend may pretend future seismic activity in Washington. As reported at King5:

“Earthquakes trigger...
By John Cornelison on 10/8/2012 9:40 AM
Congrats to the variety of people (but especially Randall Bardwell with assistance by Tim Hardy) for huge new progress on getting a second repeater up and (soon) operational for Vashon’s amateur radio community. While it will be able to serve as a backup to the existing W7VMI club repeater, it also is vastly more modern with a super flexible architecture that will allow a much broader array of services and modes in the future. This likely will play a role in enhancing emergency communications in coming years.

Rick Wallace was instrumental in coordinating the Sun rise Ridge board, Voice of Vashon PSE and Potelco to obtain permission and actually get the new antennas installed as shown to the right.

See all his photos, a video, and read more...
By John Cornelison on 10/8/2012 8:57 AM


On Saturday October 13, from 10 a.m. to 2 p.m. Vashon Island Fire & Rescue will open its doors to the public for their annual Open House at the end of Fire Prevention Week.

There will be a flu shot clinic from getaflushot.com, training demonstrations at the Penny Farcy Training Center across the street, "hands on" the fire hose, as well as displays by VashonBePrepared, CERT and the Red Cross.

The following items will be for sale: WHAT'S COOKIN' AT VIFR cookbook; bike, skating, equestrian and ski helmets; "blue" address signs and registration for upcoming CPR classes.

2012 FPW

...
By John Cornelison on 9/28/2012 6:48 AM
Dongshi - September 20, 1999 Nantou Taiwan earthquake  - Image Credit: NOAA National Geophysical Data CenterAfter April’s huge strike-slip earthquake, the USGS reiterated the one earthquake doesn’t jolt others (out of the region) into existence.

However Fred Pollitz of the U.S. Geological Survey is now reporting...
By John Cornelison on 9/25/2012 8:55 AM
iPhone Screenshot 2Be ready for an earthquake with Earthquake by American Red Cross. Get notified when an earthquake occurs, prepare your family and home, find help and let others know you are safe even if the power is out – a must have for anyone who lives in an earthquake-prone area or has loved ones who do.

FEATURES: •Step-by-step instructions let you know what to do even before/during/after an earthquake, even if no data connectivity. •Get notified when an earthquake occurs; see the intensity impact to your area or those of loved-ones with notifications generated by the United States Geological Survey (USGS). •Let family and friends know you are okay with the customizable “I’m Safe” alert for Facebook, Twitter, email and text. •Find open Red...
By John Cornelison on 9/14/2012 9:04 AM
President Obama has declared 20 more disasters than in 2010 and 2 times the numbers declared by President George W. Bush in his first two years in the White House.

Are there really that many more disasters though? Despite all the severe weather this year and portent for much more ahead (partially due to massive declines in Artic Ice levels) and resultant economic losses (e.g., a huge downturn in salmon runs), there may also be some politics at play, with Obama being pressured to declare disasters according to this ABC News report.

By John Cornelison on 9/1/2012 7:30 AM
President Obama has proclaimed September as National Preparedness Month.

Who Ya Gonna CallA 2009 Citizen Corps National Survey revealed only 57% of Americans have supplies set aside in their homes just for disasters, and only 44% have a household emergency plan.

...
By John Cornelison on 9/1/2012 7:11 AM

U.S. seismologists at CA’s Scripps Institution of Oceanography have released a study indicating fault zones weaken in select locations shortly after a fault reaches an earthquake tipping point. This can then transform a smaller series of quakes into a large mega-quake.

Read more: http://www.upi.com/Science_News/2012/08/30/Study-Hot-spots-may-up-earthquake-size/UPI-89401346363108/

By John Cornelison on 8/31/2012 7:49 AM
You only have seconds. Do you know exactly what to do the moment the ground starts shaking? If it involves a doorway, a triangle, or running – these are not quake-safe actions. Register now at www.ShakeOut.org/washington/register to learn more and practice updated quake safety. Be a part of Washington’s ShakeOut drill.

You are invited to join thousands of people who will Drop, Cover, and Hold On on October 18th at 10:18 a.m. in the 2012 Great Washington ShakeOut!

More than 12.5 million people were registered...
By John Cornelison on 8/27/2012 6:21 AM


The CERT equestrian group is ready to help at a recent drill. From left are Penni Symonds, Beth Kellner, Wanda Moore and Mary O’Brien. Craig Harmeling will join the team soon - Courtesy PhotoThe Vashon Beachcomber has just published a nice story about CERT’s new equestrian team which has been organized by Beth Kellner with help from Penni Symonds, Wanda Moore,...
By John Cornelison on 8/27/2012 6:08 AM


Vashon EOC in full operation during the June 5th 2012 Evergreen Quake Exercise. Photo ff_1283063 by John CornelisonAfter some 7 years in a conference room in VIFR’s main Station 55, the Vashon Emergency Operations Center (EOC) may be relocated next year to the VIFR Association Building across the street. Slightly larger, the room would be shared with King County...
By John Cornelison on 8/2/2012 9:48 AM


Drought over western North America from 800 to 2100.Western North America experienced the strongest drought in 800 years from 2000 to 2004 – but that may be the new normal for the next century. Reduction in carbon uptake during turn of the century drought in western North America – pg 551 – 556,...
By John Cornelison on 7/28/2012 12:44 PM


LocalFaults.800x490U.S. Geological Survey’s Brian Atwater has found evidence of a powerful tsunami near Bremerton recently – due to an earthquake which was “much more dangerous than previously thought”. Their conclusion: climb to safety after an earthquake.

Watch or read the full story at: www.q13fox.com/news/kcpq-scientist-massive-quake-struck-area-1000-years-ago-could-happen-again-20120716,0,6181048.story

By John Cornelison on 7/27/2012 11:53 AM




Barb Graff, Director of Seattle’s Office of Emergency Management has just announced the hire of Tracy Connelly as Seattle Office of Emergency Management’s new Community Planning Coordinator. Tracy starts August 1st.

Tracy Connelly has been a Public Outreach Specialist at OEM working with access and functional needs, immigrant and refugee, homeless, and multi-cultural populations.

Citywide_hub_locations2small10-11In...
By John Cornelison on 7/27/2012 8:00 AM


Funny that DHS is getting criticism for NOT using drones, when my take is that drones further compromise our civil freedoms, but apparently their use helps some key corporations' bottom lines – and their use can be more palatable by using them for Disaster Response.

According to Homeland Security Department Secretary Janet Napolitano, they are considering drone use to gather situational awareness for forest fires or “large public safety” matters.

Anyways, here’s one story:

www.nextgov.com/defense/2012/07/homeland-security-experiment-rescue-drones-inside-united-states/57023/

another citing the value of drones:

www.stripes.com/news/spies-in-the-north-dakota-sky-signal-a-new-age-of-surveillance-1.184116...
By John Cornelison on 7/26/2012 8:58 AM


Department of Homeland Security Seal - Emergency Management Institute LogoAs they indicate below, this appears to be a pretty basic course, but by clicking on one of the initial pages you can see much of the complete course outline and quickly skim it to see how much of it is applicable to your family or business.

This outline serves as a great reminder of all the steps we should be taking – and a reminder for us to complete those missing action items that we’d not completed (or refreshed) recently!

The Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) is pleased to announce a new web-based, independent study training course, IS-325—Earthquake Basics: Science, Risk, and Mitigation.

...
By John Cornelison on 7/26/2012 7:39 AM


These undated handout images provided by NASA shows the extent of surface melt over Greenland’s ice sheet on July 8, left, and July 12, right. Measurements from three satellites showed that on July 8, about 40 percent of the ice sheet had undergone thawing at or near the surface. In just a few days, the melting had dramatically accelerated and an estimated 97 percent of the ice sheet surface had thawed by July 12. In the image, the areas classified as “probable melt” (light pink) correspond to those sites where at least one satellite detected surface melting. The areas classified as “melt” (dark pink) correspond to sites where two or three satellites detected surface melting. Nearly every part of the massive Greenland ice sheet suddenly and strangely melted a bit this month in a freak event that concerned scientists had never witnessed before. NASA says three different satellites saw what it calls unprecedented melting from July 8 to July 12. Most of the thick ice remains, but what was unusual was the widespread area where some melting occurred. (AP Photo/Nicolo E. DiGirolamo, SSAI/NASA GSFC, and Jesse Allen, NASA Earth ObservatoryAccording...
By John Cornelison on 7/23/2012 10:38 AM


Puget_Sound_earthquakesThe University of Washington Seismology Lab, has released a new map of major semi-recent quakes and fault lines around Puget Sound.

Read more about this at: www.heraldnet.com/article/20120722/BLOG48/707229962#Major-modern-quakes-of-Puget-Sound

I still...
By John Cornelison on 6/21/2012 5:43 AM


Cancel another innovative idea. According to a commentary published Monday in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, storing harmful carbon dioxide gas underground is not practical. Why? Because it would cause earthquakes!

There is a long history of materials pumped underground causing earthquakes, and this report apparently finds this also likely in this situation. Although the quakes would likely be relatively small – they would be large enough to destroy the equipment used to pump the greenhouse gases down.

Read more in the LA Times article, which ends up quoting experts encouraging putting development funds into renewable energy instead. That makes sense to me!

...

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